Cluster 2 · Southern Africa & SWIO

Malawi

Malawi is exposed to a wide variety of natural hazards that include floods, strong winds, dry spells, cyclones, earthquakes, and landslides.

8 district action areasPartners: IOM

Country context

Climate displacement in Malawi

Malawi is exposed to a wide variety of natural hazards that include floods, strong winds, dry spells, cyclones, earthquakes, and landslides. Over the past fifty years, Malawi has experienced more than 20 major flooding incidents and eight droughts; it is regularly hit by torrential rainfall, tropical cyclones, occurring almost annually with increasing frequency and intensity in recent years. Malawi’s high level of vulnerability can be attributed to other geo-climatic factors such as the influence of El Niño and La Niña phenomena on climate variability along with the variability in water levels in the country’s three major lakes. Other contributing factors which add to its vulnerability to disasters include rapid population growth, poverty, unsustainable rapid urbanisation and poor urban planning (with an annual increase of 4.2%, Malawi has one of the highest urbanisation growth rates in Africa), and environmental degradation. The impact of extreme weather events have been substantial—hindering people’s lives, livelihoods, the country’s economy, damaging infrastructure and leading to large scale population displacement. In 2019, Cyclone Idai killed 60 people and displaced over 90,000; In 2022, Malawi was the country most affected by disaster displacement in Southern Africa with 297,000 displacements caused by back-to-back storms and cyclones. In 2023, Tropical Cyclone Freddy brought sudden flash floods and landslides, particularly in the southern districts. At least 2,267,4581 people were affected, of whom 659,278 were displaced to 747 camps. At least 56 per cent of the affected were children and 7.2 per cent were people living with disabilities. The 2023 - 2024 drought, linked with El Niño conditions, had a devastating effect, with Malawi considered as the country having the highest number of affected people across Southern Africa (6 million), and effects continue to be experienced in 2025. As part of the DTM drought assessment deployed in Southern Malawi in November 2024, 410,000 movements were reported over the past year, 65% female,– with 99% of these movements related to drought and flooding.

The impact of extreme weather phenomenon in Malawi are likely to increase and result in repeated population displacement. Comprehensive action is required to support solutions to this displacement and build resilience of communities to displacement risks due to climatic shocks, including for communities already confronted to multiple vulnerabilities. Indeed, disasters disproportionately impact women, children, and persons with disabilities due to pre-existing vulnerabilities and limited access to essential services – women and children represented 80% of movements captured in the last DTM drought assessment.

Read the full country context

In addition to being confronted to population displacing due to disasters, Malawi also hosts about 57,000 refugees and asylum seekers, the majority of whom are resident in Dzaleka refugee camp. The camp is severely overcrowded, and the presence of refugees has put a lot of pressure on the environment, leading to a competition for natural resources between the refugees and the host communities, often a source of tension and social instability.

The action will be anchored under Department of Disaster Management Affairs (DoDMA) as the principal Government counterpart on this programme. IOM and its partners will further collaborate closely with the Ministry of Natural Resources, and Ministry of Lands and Local Government Implementation of the activities across the three SOs will be through a combination of direct implementation by IOM and by implementing partners. IOM Malawi envisages the Malawi Red Cross Society, with support from the IFRC, will be the main implementing partner for this Action. The contracting of implementing partners including the allocation of areas of focus will be finalized during the project inception phase. IOM will also collaborate with local women’s organizations and organizations of persons with disabilities (OPD), as well as the government agency, Malawi Council of Disability Affairs (MACODA), to ensure the incorporation of inclusion considerations in all activities.

Excerpted from the RE2CLID Technical Implementation Package: Malawi (indicative; may change during inception).

Response

What RE2CLID will do

SO1

Disaster forecasts & displacement management

To achieve this Objective, IOM will strengthen national and local capacities—particularly district councils, DoDMA, and the Ministry of Lands—to better manage disaster displacement in line with the Disaster Risk Management Act. This includes building in-country expertise and integrating displacement into DRM systems and policies (Output 1.1). Output 1.2 focuses on enhancing data collection, analysis, and use for risk-informed planning, including through early warning systems and Anticipatory Action. Output 1.3 will improve last-mile delivery of early warnings to disaster-prone communities, including DACs—collectively enhancing preparedness and resilience to displacement risks.

SO2

Natural resource governance

To achieve this Objective, IOM will strengthen national and local capacities for sustainable land, forest, and water management, directly linking ecosystem restoration efforts to displacement risk reduction and durable solutions. The Government of Malawi, with support from development partners, has been implementing various initiatives aimed at restoring degraded ecosystems and improving community resilience, including the Malawi Watershed Services Improvement Project (MWASIP), Ulimi ndi Chilengedwe (UCHI) Project, Climate Smart – Enhanced Public Works Programme (CS-EPWP), Malawi Resilience and Disaster Risk Management Project (MRDRMP), and the Regional Climate Resilience Programme (RCRP). These programmes have laid important groundwork for ecosystem restoration and nature-based solutions. The RE2CLID Action will complement these initiatives by directly linking natural resource management to displacement risk reduction, durable solutions – with Activities implemented under SO2 and SO3 being part of a holistic package to provide solutions to DACs.

SO3

Resilience & self-reliance

The programme enhances DAC resilience and self-reliance by integrating them into disaster response, recovery, and social protection systems. Key interventions include climate-resilient housing, durable solutions planning, and inclusive infrastructure rehabilitation. Multi-sectoral assessments will inform evidence-based support and build local capacities. DACs will access green finance, employment schemes, and climate-adaptive livelihoods to foster long-term sustainability. The approach promotes both immediate recovery and long-term solutions for displaced and host communities.

Location selection

In alignment with recommendations made in the Regional Responses to Climate Displacement (RE2CDLID) Final Report, the Action will target Nsanje, Chikwawa, Mangochi, Mulanje, and Phalombe districts and Blantyre District and Blantyre City in Southern Malawi with additional interventions in Dowa district in the areas encompassing Dzaleka refugee camp. Locations for the sub-national activities will be finalized during the inception phase of the project, and agreed between the Government of Malawi, the EUD, and IOM and the implementing partners.

District profiles

District profile summary

Districts (admin-2) in the RE2CLID action areas, with the seasonal hazards and peak-pressure months from their action-area calendar. CVA results will be added as each district analysis is completed.

DistrictAdmin-1Action unitsSeasonal hazards & outbreaksPeak pressureCVA
Dowa
MW204
Central2Rainy season, CholeraNov–FebPending
Mangochi
MW301
Southern4Rainy season, CholeraNov–FebPending
Blantyre
MW305
Southern2Rainy season, CholeraNov–FebPending
Mulanje
MW308
Southern3Rainy season, CholeraNov–FebPending
Phalombe
MW309
Southern1Rainy season, CholeraNov–FebPending
Chikwawa
MW310
Southern5Rainy season, CholeraNov–FebPending
Nsanje
MW311
Southern2Rainy season, CholeraNov–FebPending
Blantyre City
MW315
Southern3Rainy season, CholeraNov–FebPending
Maps

Malawi action areas

Click a district to open its profile.

Loading map…
  • Action area (admin-1)
  • District (admin-2)
RE2CLID Malawi
RE2CLID Malawi · IOM, published 21 October 2026 (version 1). Sample map for illustration only.Download PDF
Seasonal hazard calendar

Seasonal calendar

Recurring seasonal hazards, agricultural seasons, lean periods and outbreaks. Switch between the national calendar and each action area, and use the chips to filter categories.

Oct’26
Nov
Dec
Jan’27
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Household pressurehazard + lean + outbreak
1
3
3
3
3
2
1
Seasonal hazard (1)
Rainy seasonOct–Mar
Disease outbreak (1)
CholeraNov–Apr
Lean season (1)
Lean seasonNov–Feb
Planting & growing (8)
Main planting – CottonOct–Nov
Main planting – MaizeSep–Nov
Main plantingNov–Dec
Main planting – PeanutsNov–Dec
Main planting – RiceNov–Dec
Main planting – SorghumDec
Main planting – WheatFeb–Mar
2nd plantingApr–Jul
Harvest (9)
2nd harvestSep–Nov
Green harvestFeb–Mar
Main harvest – PeanutsMar–May
Main harvestApr–Jul
Main harvest – MaizeApr–Jun
Main harvest – CottonMay–Jun
Main harvest – RiceMay–Jun
Main harvest – SorghumJun
Main harvest – WheatJul–Aug

Today. Events are recurring seasonal patterns, not forecasts.

Indicative reading. Pressure on households is likely to peak from November to February, when the lean season coincides with cholera and the rainy season. No wet-season hazard, outbreak or lean season is recorded from May to September, making this the likeliest window for field activities such as assessments, registration or construction.
Calendar narrative & sources

ACAPS lists 20 seasonal events for Malawi, all of them country-wide.

The recorded seasonal hazard is the rainy season (Oct–Mar). Planting and growing periods: Main planting – Maize (Sep–Nov), Main planting – Cotton (Oct–Nov), Main planting – Peanuts (Nov–Dec), Main planting – Rice (Nov–Dec), Main planting (Nov–Dec), Main planting – Sorghum (Dec), Main planting – Wheat (Feb–Mar) and 2nd planting (Apr–Jul). Harvests: the 2nd harvest (Sep–Nov), the green harvest (Feb–Mar), the main harvest – Peanuts (Mar–May), the main harvest – Maize (Apr–Jun), the main harvest (Apr–Jul), the main harvest – Cotton (May–Jun), the main harvest – Rice (May–Jun), the main harvest – Sorghum (Jun) and the main harvest – Wheat (Jul–Aug). The lean season runs from November to February. Disease outbreaks follow a seasonal pattern: cholera (Nov–Apr).

The 20 records come from 3 sources dated 2013 to 2022. Entries more than 10 years old should be checked against current FEWS NET, FAO GIEWS or national meteorological calendars before use in planning.

Climate vulnerability assessment

Malawi country analysis

The country CVA applies the common methodology with national data and partners. It runs multi-hazard displacement vulnerability and risk assessments, and its results feed into risk-informed preparedness, DRR and adaptation planning at national and sub-national levels.

Questions the country analysis will answer

  1. Which districts and communities are most exposed to the main seasonal and sudden-onset hazards?
  2. How do socio-economic vulnerability and adaptive capacity differ between action areas?
  3. How can results be built into national DRM, early warning and anticipatory action systems?

Analytical dimensions

  • 1Hazard
    Sudden-onset (floods, cyclones, landslides) and slow-onset (lake-level rise, drought, degradation)
  • 2Exposure
    People, settlements, infrastructure and livelihoods in hazard-prone areas
  • 3Vulnerability
    Socio-economic sensitivity, disaggregated by sex, age and disability
  • 4Adaptive capacity
    Services, institutions, social protection and coping strategies
  • 5Displacement risk
    Combined likelihood and scale of disaster displacement

Outputs for Malawi

  • Analysis report · Quarto web pagePending
  • Summary brief · PDFPending
  • Briefing slides · Quarto Reveal.js slidesPending